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Advance UK News Diary

October 9-15: Labour conference, Supreme Court hears Rwanda challenge, and voting in Australia, New Zealand and Poland

October 5, 2023
  • Slice 1

A look ahead at the key events leading the news agenda next week, from the team at Foresight News. Delivered to your inbox on Fridays.

Leading the Week

Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives left their opposition counterparts with a hard act to follow after committing several acts of actual news at a party conference, notably by scrapping the northern leg of the HS2 project (albeit several days after the decision was first reported). The Tories were in full policy wheel of fortune mode in Manchester, announcing plans to ban mobile phones in schools, end cigarette sales to those born after 2009, and ban trans patients from single-sex wards in England, so the response from Keir Starmer and co. at Labour’s conference next week will be keenly anticipated. Deputy leader Angela Rayner opens proceedings in Liverpool with a speech on Sunday, where she may touch again on member-friendly issues such as a proposed ban on zero-hours contracts and rent reforms.

The action continues when Rachel Reeves takes to the stage on Monday (October 9) for a speech that will be closely-watched in the business world and beyond after the Shadow Chancellor’s months of legwork in trying to persuade firms that Labour is ready to take on the ‘party of business’ mantle. But the main event comes on Tuesday (October 10), when Sir Keir makes what is likely to be his last pitch for the big job before the election campaign proper begins. Does he continue to play it safe, or will this finally be the Labour leader’s time to step outside his comfort zone? Sir Keir will arrive in Liverpool in confident mood after a handily-timed by-election win in Scotland yesterday, and with the path to Number 10 now illuminated by the possibility of a resurgence in Scotland this may be Starmer’s best chance to go bold and lay down an early general election marker.

Protesters hold signs reading No to Rwanda deportations Stop the Flights

The latest chapter in the Government’s attempts to send asylum seekers to Rwanda is heard at the Supreme Court on Monday (October 9), following a defeat at the High Court, where then-Lord Chief Justice Baron Burnett ruled the scheme to be unlawful. The Conservative Party is under a huge amount of pressure to get the verdict overturned, after Prime Minister Rishi Sunak made ‘stopping the boats’ one of his five pledges in the run up to the general election. 

The Rwanda deportations, which the Tories believe will act as a deterrent to small boat crossings, are a key element of the plan, so defeat in the Supreme Court could lead to another rethink on strategy. Critics of the policy, including the Archbishop of Canterbury, have described it as ‘immoral’, ‘expensive’, and ‘unworkable’. After the three day-hearing, ending on Wednesday (October 11), Supreme Court judges will contemplate evidence and make a judgment at a later date. 

Arguably the most controversial drama of the year, The Reckoning, begins on BBC 1 on Monday (October 9). The docudrama focuses on Jimmy Savile’s rise to fame, starring Steve Coogan as the disgraced presenter. Cutting between drama and testimonies from victims, the show explores Savile’s actions, and the way he manipulated hospitals, charities, prisons, and the BBC to facilitate decades of abuse. An investigation into Savile after he died in 2011 found he had committed 126 indecent acts, including 34 counts of rape. 

Since the programme was announced, complaints have flooded in about its nature and whether it should have been made at all, as well as about its timeslot, which has seen it pitted against ITV’s drama about the Yorkshire Ripper. The drama was first announced in 2020 but faced multiple delays after filming wrapped up in early 2022. While the BBC had been non-committal on a release date, speculation on the lengthy post-production process has ranged from rewrites to include more testimonies from victims to a delay following the death of Queen Elizabeth II and the coronation of King Charles, given Savile’s well-known link to the royals. 


Looking Abroad

NASA staff speak at science briefing on Osiris-REx
Credit: NASA

Following House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s dramatic ousting on Tuesday, the race to succeed him is set to dominate US news next week. While potential, albeit longshot, successors include Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, or even former President Donald Trump, House Republicans are more likely to try to seek consensus around one of their own, with Reps. Steve Scalise, Tom Emmer, Kevin Hern, Elise Stefanik and Jim Jordan among names floated as potential candidates. Interim Speaker Patrick McHenry told colleagues on Tuesday that he planned to organise a candidates’ forum on Tuesday (October 10) before holding a vote among members of the conference on Wednesday (October 11).  

After NASA successfully recovered a capsule containing samples from the Bennu asteroid last month, the space agency is holding a highly-anticipated press conference on Wednesday (October 11) to announce the results of an initial analysis of the sample dropped off by the OSIRIS-REx mission. The rocks from Bennu are thought to date back some 4.5 billion years, and may contain clues regarding the origins of life on Earth. They may also help preparations for a potential mission to avert the possibility of Bennu colliding with Earth in 2128.

Lawn sign reading I'm Voting YES

Australia holds a contentious referendum on Saturday (October 14) on whether to change the country’s constitution to create a permanent advisory body called the Voice to Parliament to advise on matters impacting Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. While the proposals have the backing of Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s government and appeared popular at the start of the campaign, more recent polling suggests voters could ultimately end up rejecting it, particularly since majority support is required in at least four of Australia’s six states in addition to an overall majority. The referendum coincides with a general election in neighbouring New Zealand on Saturday, where Labour Party leader Chris Hipkins faces an uphill battle against the conservative National Party, led by Christopher Luxon.

Donald Tusk addresses an election rally

Voters also go to the polls in Poland on Sunday (October 15), where former European Council president Donald Tusk and his Civic Coalition are hoping to break the conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party’s grip on power and restore a more positive relationship with the European Union. Relations have soured with Brussels over the eight years since the PiS gained power amid a series of alleged rule of law breaches under the populist government and, more recently, a dispute over Ukrainian grain exports.


 

October 9

Public hearings begin in Independent Inquiry on Afghanistan 

Ukraine discussed at UN Human Rights Council 

Macron and Schulz co-chair Franco-German Council of Ministers 

Nagorno-Karabakh discussed at PACE autumn session 

Nobel economics prize awarded 

Members’ voting period ends for WGA deal while SAG-AFTRA talks continue 

IMF/World Bank Group Annual Meetings begin 

October 10

IMF publishes World Economic Outlook 

Hosts announced for EURO 2028 & 2032 

Sir Ian Diamond gives evidence at Covid-19 inquiry 

Court hearing for WSJ journalist Evan Gershkovich 

International reconstruction conference for Derna (Libya) 

Liberia general election 

Taiwanese President delivers National (Double Ten) Day speech 

Amazon 'Prime Big Deal Day' 

October 11

NATO Defence Ministers meet 

National Black Police Association Conference 

Vladimir Putin expected to address Russian Energy Week 

Greta Thunberg on trial in Sweden over Malmo protest 

Court hearing for Russian activist Oleg Orlov 

G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting 

Birkenstock shares expected to begin trading 

October 12

UK GDP monthly estimate 

NASA Psyche mission launch 

Parliamentary elections in Gibraltar 

IMF Managing Director press briefing on global policy agenda 

OEUK Decarbonisation Conference 

Scotland play EURO 2024 qualifier 

October 13

Andrew Bailey participates in IIF Annual Membership Meeting  

DUP annual conference begins 

Court hearing in case of 'Russian spies' arrested in London 

Court hearing for escaped prisoner Daniel Khalife  

Statutory Homelessness Statistics (2022/23) 

Nationwide protests in France  

Kyrgyzstan hosts CIS Summit 

Premiership Rugby season begins 

Taylor Swift’s The Eras Tour film release 

October 14

IMF International Monetary and Financial Committee meeting 

Super League Grand Final 

Northern Ireland play EURO 2024 qualifier 

Madonna begins rescheduled Celebration Tour with London gigs 

Annular solar eclipse 

October 15

SNP Autumn Conference begins 

Presidential runoff election in Ecuador 

Israeli parliament returns from summer recess 

NFL London fixture: Tennessee Titans v Buffalo Bills 

Wales play EURO 2024 qualifier 

Statistics, reports and results

October 9

IHS/Markit REC Report on Jobs 

OECD review of farming and food in the European Union 

October 10

IMF Global Financial Stability Report 

Bank of England publishes Systemic Risk Survey and FPC record 

IEA Medium-Term Gas Market report

BRC Retail Sales Monitor 

Forbes World’s Best Employers 

Results from: PepsiCo 

October 11

IMF Fiscal Monitor launch 

October 12

OEUK Emissions 2023 report  

WMO report on global water resources 

NHS key services performance data  

UK indices of production and services 

UK trade statistics 

OECD harmonised unemployment rates 

IEA and OPEC monthly oil market reports 

US consumer price index 

Results from: Walgreens Boots Alliance, Fast Retailing, Hays plc 

October 13

Monthly NOAA Global Climate Report 

China consumer price index 

EU industrial production figures 

Results from: Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, UnitedHealth Group 

Anniversaries and Awareness Days

October 9

Columbus Day (US) 

Indigenous Peoples' Day (US) 

Thanksgiving Day (Canada) 

Hospice Care Week (to October 15) 

Baby Loss Awareness Week (to October 15) 

European Local Democracy Week (to October 15) 

October 10

Fat Bear Tuesday  

Ada Lovelace Day 

World Mental Health Day 

World Day Against the Death Penalty 

World Homeless Day 

North Korea Party Foundation Day 

One month ago: Storm Daniel hit Libya 

October 11

National Coming Out Day 

International Day of the Girl Child 

October 12

Spain National Day 

Día de la Raza 

World Arthritis Day 

World Sight Day 

Harry Potter Book Day 

London Cocktail Week (to October 22) 

October 13

International Dy for Disaster Reduction  

World Thrombosis Day 

Secondary Breast Cancer Awareness Day 

No Bra Day 

October 14

National Album Day 

National Bookshop Day 

World Hospice and Palliative Care Day 

World Migratory Bird Day 

National Dessert Day 

National Hate Crime Awareness Week (to October 21) 

100 years ago: largest Irish hunger strike 

October 15

Global Handwashing Day 

International Infection Prevention Week (to October 21) 

Six months ago: fighting broke out in Sudan 


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