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Advance US News Diary

October 16-22: Israel conflict intensifies, Senate confirmation hearings, and Xi’s Belt and Road summit

October 13, 2023
  • Slice 1

A look ahead at the key events leading the news agenda next week, from the team at Foresight News. Delivered to your inbox on Fridays.

Leading the week 

The situation in Israel following the unprecedented Hamas attack last weekend will dominate news next week amid the increasing likelihood of a ground operation in Gaza following days of intense air strikes in the densely populated Palestinian enclave and fears of a wider regional conflict. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who landed in Israel yesterday and has been in Jordan today, widened his trip to include stops in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE and Egypt this weekend. Antony Blinken shakes hands with Benjamin Netanyahu in front of American and Israeli flags

As Blinken left, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, European Parliament President Roberta Metsola, and the German, Italian and Canadian foreign ministers all descended on Tel Aviv today, as the UN announced that Israel has given 1.1 million Gazans 24 hours to evacuate south of the Wadi Gaza river. Washington is hoping that the diplomatic blitz can help secure the release of Israeli hostages and prevent the conflict from escalating further, and any developments after today’s Hamas ‘Day of Rage’ or this weekend’s talks will help set the course for events next week.

The war will likely be front and center of discussions at the confirmation hearing for former Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew, the Biden administration’s nominee to be Ambassador to Israel, which is set for Wednesday (October 18). The failure to fill the post follows a campaign from several Republican Senators, including Ted Cruz, to hold up key nominees in a bid to extract concessions on unrelated matters from the Biden administration. Even if Lew’s nomination is confirmed quickly, as now seems likely, a number of other important posts – including the would-be Ambassadors to Lebanon, Oman, and Kuwait, as well as the State Department’s Coordinator for Counterterrorism – remain vacant as the nominees await votes in the Senate. In another sign that the crisis has focused minds, the committee will now consider the nominee to be US Ambassador to Egypt, Herro Mustafa Garg, as part of a previously scheduled session on Thursday (October 19). Jacob Lew

The conflict is likely to feature prominently in talks between Biden and EU leaders Ursula von der Leyen and Charles Michel, set to take place on Friday (October 20). The discussions are also set to include the conflict in Ukraine, as well as trade issues ahead of the October 31 deadline in the long-running transatlantic dispute over steel and aluminum.


Looking abroad 

One Belt, One Road map showing trade routes and investment initiatives

Chinese President Xi Jinping will host representatives from over 130 nations for a two-day summit in Beijing starting on Tuesday (October 17). The gathering, formally titled the Third Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation, is China’s biggest diplomatic event this year. It comes as the Belt and Road Initiative (formerly known as the One Belt, One Road initiative) marks its 10th anniversary. The project’s massive infrastructure investments, mostly in Asia and Africa, are viewed as part of China’s efforts to challenge America’s global dominance. Although a final list of which countries plan to send leaders has yet to be announced, Russian President Vladimir Putin has publicly accepted his invitation, and a bilateral meeting with Xi is likely. 

Javier Milei

Argentina holds presidential and legislative elections on Sunday (October 22) with all eyes on right-wing libertarian candidate Javier Milei, who has described himself as an ‘anarcho-capitalist’ and surprised many by winning the most votes in the open primary in August. The prospect of a Milei presidency has rattled markets, and in recent weeks the value of the country’s currency has fallen sharply as Milei continues to tout his plan to dollarize the economy as a solution the country’s chronic inflation. Earlier this week, the country’s current president, Alberto Fernández, filed a judicial complaint against Milei after he described the peso as ‘worth less than excrement’, accusing Milei of ‘public intimidation’. As it stands, the election looks likely to head to a November 19 runoff, with current Economy Minister Sergio Massa and former Security Minister Patricia Bullrich leading among rival candidates.


 

Also look out for...

October 16

Joe Biden visits Colorado 

Donald Trump campaigns in Iowa 

Tim Scott at GU Politics/AP candidate series 

Hearing on gag order request in Trump 2020 election results case 

Albania hosts Berlin Process Summit 

Sergey Lavrov visits China 

Russia's Commissioner for Children's Rights, subject of an ICC arrest warrant, holds press briefing 

NFL week 6: Cowboys at Chargers 

October 17

Mitt Romney speaks at GU Politics 

Paul Ryan speaks at Harvard IOP  

NCAA president at Senate hearing on college sports 

Olaf Scholz hosts King Abdullah of Jordan

NFL Fall League Meeting 

October 18

House hearing on threats from Iran 

Confirmation hearing for nominee to lead NIH 

Federal sentencing for mother of six-year-old who shot teacher 

Mike Pompeo speaks at Nixon Foundation’s Grand Strategy Summit 

JCPOA Transition Day - France, Germany, and UK maintain measures over non-compliance 

Mark Zuckerberg speaks at STAT Summit 

October 19

Jerome Powell discusses economic outlook and monetary policy at ECNY 

Henry Kissinger speaks at Alfred E. Smith Dinner 

Arraignment of suspect charged with Tupac murder  

Sakharov Prize winner announced 

Great ShakeOut Earthquake Drills 

EU Justice and Home Affairs ministers meet 

UN Security Council discusses Somalia 

October 20

Extraordinary Diet session in Japan 

Brazilian foreign minister chairs UNSC session on conflict prevention 

Riga Conference 

October 21

New Hampshire Seacoast Republican Women's Chili Fest 

Ken Paxton speaks at CPAC Annual Gala 

Nawaz Sharif returns to Pakistan 

Bad Bunny hosts SNL 

October 22

Opposition primary ahead of upcoming presidential election in Venezuela 

Switzerland holds federal elections 

Orionid meteor shower 

United States Grand Prix 

Statistics, reports and results

October 17

Advance monthly retail sales (US) 

NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index 

US Manufacturing and Trade: Inventories and Sales statistics 

US industrial production figures 

UK unemployment statistics 

Results from: Bank of America, BNY Mellon, Goldman Sachs, Lockheed Martin, Johnson & Johnson, Ericsson 

October 18

Beige Book (US) 

New Residential Construction (US) 

China GDP and economic data press conference 

UK Consumer Price Indices 

EU Inflation Statistics 

Results from: Tesla Motors, Netflix, US Bancorp, Morgan Stanley, United Airlines, Alcoa, United Airlines, Procter and Gamble 

October 19

Existing-Home Sales (US) 

Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey 

Indonesia interest rate decision 

South Korea interest rate decision 

Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey 

Results from: Metro AG, Roche, Nokia, American Airlines Group, Freeport McMoRan, AT&T, Union Pacific, L'Oréal, Nestle, Renault Group 

October 20

UK retail sales 

China Loan Prime Rate announcement 

Results from: Schlumberger, American Express, Barclays, InterContinental Hotels Group 

Anniversaries and Awareness Days

October 16

World Food Day 

World Anaesthesia Day 

National Dictionary Day 

Boss's Day 

100 years ago: The Walt Disney Company founded 

October 17

International Day for the Eradication of Poverty 

National Pasta Day 

October 18

World Menopause Day 

Anti-Slavery Day 

EU Anti-Trafficking Day 

October 19

International Credit Union Day 

October 20

World Osteoporosis Day 

One year ago: Liz Truss announced resignation 

50 years ago: Sydney Opera House opened 

October 21

Two weeks ago: Hamas launched massive attack on Israel 

October 22

Post Polio Syndrome (PPS) Day 

Pope Saint John Paul II memorial day 

World Mission Sunday 

International Stammering Awareness Day 

World Energy Day 


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Tags

  • Antony Blinken
  • Argentina
  • Belt and Road
  • Gaza
  • Israel
  • Jacob Lew
  • Joe Biden
  • Palestine
  • Senate
  • Ursula von der Leyen
  • Xi Jinping
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