Insight

Midterms: The Senate Races to Watch

by

Ahead of the November 8 midterms, we take a look at the races to watch that could swing control of the Senate. 

The chamber is currently split 50-50, with Vice President Kamala Harris getting a tiebreaker vote, effectively giving the Democrats one vote majority. Thirty-five of the 100 seats are up for re-election, with roughly 12 states in play. Tightening polls in the final stretch of the campaign makes the outcome increasingly uncertain.

Democrat-held competitive races: 

Nevada 

Catherine Cortez Masto is facing a serious challenge from former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt. 

Georgia 

Raphael Warnock’s race against Heisman Trophy winner Herschel Walker remains close despite a series of scandals that have rocked Walker’s campaign. Could go to a December 6 run-off. 

Arizona 

Mark Kelly is being challenged by Blake Masters, with Libertarian candidate Marc Victor having recently dropped out the race, urging supporters to back Masters. 

Colorado 

Michael Bennet faces Republican Joe O’Dea, who has notably sought to distance himself from Donald Trump. 

New Hampshire 

Maggie Hassan’s bid to see off a challenge by Trump-endorsed Don Bolduc has proved trickier than many thought. 

Washington 

Patty Murray faces a surprisingly competitive race against Republican Tiffany Smiley. 


Republican-held competitive races: 

North Carolina 

Ted Budd is looking to keep this seat in Republican hands as he faces a competitive challenge from Democrat Cheri Beasley for the seat being vacated by Richard Burr. 

Ohio 

Hillbilly Elegy author J.D. Vance faces Democrat Tim Ryan in the of the most closely-watched races of the cycle. The seat being vacated by Republican Rob Portman. 

Wisconsin 

Republican Ron Johnson is in a close race with Democratic Lt. Governor Mandela Barnes, in another crucial battle that Democrats had hoped would be a relatively easy flip coming into the campaign. 

Pennsylvania 

Another critical race, where Democrat John Fetterman – who suffered a serious stroke in May – is facing Dr. Mehmet Oz to fill the seat held by retiring Senator Pat Toomey. 

Utah 

Senator Mike Lee faces a long-shot challenge from independent former presidential candidate Evan McMullin. 

Florida 

Marco Rubio faces Democratic Rep. Val Demings, though polls suggest a Demings victory is unlikely. 

 

Download our full guide to the 2022 midterms for details on when polls close in each state and the key races to watch as the night unfolds.