Insight

Midterms: Pick of the Polls

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Midterm results will trickle in throughout the night as polls close in different time zones across the country. We’ve highlighted the races to watch each hour to keep track of the results that could swing control of the House or the Senate. 

7PM EST

Key Races: 

  • Georgia gubernatorial and Senate races: Republican Governor Brian Kemp faces a rematch with Democrat Stacey Abrams, having defeated Trump-endorsed David Perdue in the primary. Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock faces Trump-backed Heisman Trophy winner Herschel Walker in his bid for re-election.
  • New Hampshire Senate race: Incumbent Democrat Maggie Hassan faces Trump-endorsed Republican Don Bolduc.
  • Vermont at-large congressional district: In the state’s only congressional district, Senate President Pro Tempore Becca Balint, a Democrat, looks likely to make history by becoming Vermont’s first female congresswoman.
  • Abortion ballot measures in Kentucky and Vermont 

7:30PM EST 

Key races: 

  • North Carolina Senate race and 13th congressional district race: Republican Ted Budd faces Democrat Cheri Beasley for the Senate seat being vacated by Republican Richard Burr. Democrats are hoping to flip the redrawn 13th congressional district, where Democrat Wiley Nickel faces Republican Bo Hines. 
  • Ohio Senate race: Hillbilly Elegy author J.D. Vance faces Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan in the closely-watched race for the open Senate seat being vacated by Republican Rob Portman. 

 8PM EST 

Key races: 

  • Florida gubernatorial and Senate races, and 7th and 13th district races: In the gubernatorial race, incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis faces former governor Charlie Crist. In the Senate race, incumbent Republican Marco Rubio faces Rep. Val Demings. The GOP looks likely to flip the open 7th congressional district, where Republican Cory Mills is favored to defeat Democrat Karen Green, and the 13th congressional district (currently held by Charlie Crist), where Republican Anna Luna is leading polls to defeat Democrat Maxwell Frost.
  • Maine 2nd congressional district and gubernatorial race: The 2nd congressional district sees a rematch between incumbent Democrat Jared Golden and Republican former congressman Bruce Poliquin; the seat is considered a toss up. In the gubernatorial race, outspoken former Republican governor Paul LePage is challenging incumbent Janet Mills
  • Illinois 6th, 13th and 17th congressional districts: The open 17th congressional district is being targeted by Republicans. The Democrat-held 6th congressional district looks to be a close contest, as does the Republican-held 13th district 

Key races: 

  • Michigan gubernatorial race: In the gubernatorial race, incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer faces Trump-backed conservative commentator Tudor Dixon.
  • Pennsylvania gubernatorial and Senate races, and 7th, 8th, and 17th districts: Democratic Lt. Governor John Fetterman faces Dr Mehmet Oz, who narrowly defeated David McCormick in the GOP primary, for the seat held by retiring Senator Pat Toomey. Other notable races include the gubernatorial contest where Republican state Senator Doug Mastriano, who led the effort to overturn the results of the 2020 election, faces Democratic Attorney General Josh Shapiro for the seat held by term-limited Democrat Tom Wolf. In terms of House races, the Democrat-held 8th and 17th congressional districts look to be close races, while Republicans are looking likely to flip the 7th congressional district.
  • Rhode Island 2nd congressional district: In the open house race for the Democrat-held 2nd congressional district, Democrat Seth Magaziner takes on Republican Allan Fung in what is expected to be a very close race.
  • New Jersey 7th congressional district: In the 7th district, vulnerable Democrat Tom Malinowski faces former state Senate minority leader Tom Kean Jr. in the GOP-leaning central Jersey area.
  • Tennessee 5th congressional district: In the 5th congressional district, Democrat Jim Cooper is not seeking re-election after 32 years in office, after the new congressional map significantly altered the district’s demographic makeup. Republican Andy Ogles is strongly favored to defeat Democrat Heidi Campbell. 

9PM EST

Key races: 

  • Arizona gubernatorial and Senate races: The Democrats’ gubernatorial nominee is Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, who faces Trump-endorsed former news anchor Kari Lake. In the Senate race, Trump-endorsed Blake Masters takes on incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly.
  • Colorado Senate race and 8th congressional district: Incumbent Senator Michael Bennet faces Republican Joe O’Dea. In terms of the House, all eyes are on the close contest in the new 8th congressional district.
  • Kansas gubernatorial race: In the gubernatorial race, Republican Attorney General Derek Schmidt takes on incumbent Democrat Laura Kelly, who is viewed as vulnerable.
  • Minnesota gubernatorial and Secretary of State races: Democratic incumbent Governor Tim Walz is running for a second term, facing Republican Scott Jensen. The race for Secretary of State features controversial Republican nominee Kim Crockett. 

Key races: 

  • Texas gubernatorial election: In the high-profile gubernatorial race, incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott faces former congressman Beto O’Rourke.
  • Wisconsin gubernatorial and Senate elections: In the Senate race, Republican Ron Johnson faces Democratic Lt. Governor Mandela Barnes. In the gubernatorial race, Democratic incumbent Tony Evers faces Trump-endorsed businessman Tim Michels. 

10PM EST 

Key races: 

  • Utah Senate race: Republican incumbent Senator Mike Lee faces independent former presidential candidate Evan McMullin
  • Nevada gubernatorial and Senate races: Republican former Attorney General Adam Laxalt faces vulnerable Democratic Senator Catherine Cortez Masto, while Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo challenges Democratic Governor Steve Sisolak.
  • Iowa 3rd congressional district: The most interesting House race is likely to be the Democrat-held 3rd congressional district, where Rep. Cindy Axne may be defeated by state Senator Zach Nunn. 

11PM-1AM EST

Key races: 

  • Washington Senate race (11PM): Democrat Patty Murray defends her seat in the Senate race, facing Republican Tiffany Smiley.
  • Oregon gubernatorial race (11PM): In the race for governor, Democrat Tina Kotek faces Republican Christine Drazan and Independent Betsy Johnson for the seat held by term-limited Democrat Kate Brown.
  • Alaska at-large congressional district race (12AM): In the race for the state’s sole congressional district, Republicans Sarah Palin, Nick Begich, and Democrat Mary Peltola are among candidates. 

 

Download our full guide to the 2022 midterms for details on when polls close in each state and the key races to watch as the night unfolds.