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Advance UK News Diary

June 27-July 3: Scottish referendum roadmap and Johnson abroad

Nicola Sturgeon standing at a lectern
June 24, 2022
  • Slice 1

A look ahead at the key events leading the news agenda next week, from the team at Foresight News.

Leading the week 

Holyrood provides the focus for this week’s political news, as Nicola Sturgeon sets out her route map for a second referendum on Scottish independence. The Scottish First Minister is already making plans for a vote to be held next October, and her address on Tuesday (June 28) is expected to flesh out the detail of how the ballot will actually work. But Sturgeon’s push for another referendum will be hampered by political roadblocks on both sides of the border. Prime Minister Boris Johnson has already rejected calls for a second poll, teeing up a possible Supreme Court battle in the near future. The picture isn’t exactly straightforward in Scotland, either, where despite having the backing of the Scottish Greens, the SNP’s ‘IndyRef 2’ plans have been comprehensively rejected by both Labour and the Liberal Democrats. 

As Sturgeon delivers her statement to the Scottish Parliament, Cabinet Secretary Sir Simon Case appears before the Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee. The hearing focuses on the propriety of governance in light of the Greensill scandal, and is certain to touch on both the ‘partygate’ fallout and the recent resignation of the prime minister’s ethics adviser Lord Geidt. MPs might also like to ask for more information on the ‘informal conversation’ Case had with the Duke and Duchess of Cambridge’s Royal Foundation about a potential job for Carrie Johnson back in 2020, which he insisted was not ‘improper’ and something he ‘would have done for anyone with relevant experience’. 

Cardiff Crown Court east entrance steps
Cardiff Crown Court

Three people are sentenced at Cardiff Crown Court on Thursday (June 30) for the murder of Logan Mwangi, who was found dead in a south Wales river last July. Angharad Williamson, John Cole, and an unnamed teenager were found guilty of carrying out a ‘brutal and sustained assault’ on the four-year-old, before dumping his body in the River Ogmore in Bridgend. A trial at Cardiff Crown Court heard the three had inflicted injuries usually seen in car crash victims and attempted to conceal their involvement from police by claiming Logan had gone missing from the family home. A child practice review into the case is expected to report before the end of the year.


Looking abroad 

Still reeling from this morning’s Conservative losses in the Tiverton and Honiton and Wakefield by-lections, Boris Johnson will be looking to see off critics by highlighting his high-profile support for Ukraine in a week where the conflict looks set to dominate the international agenda yet again. On Monday (June 27), he will be at the G7 summit at Schloss Elmau in Germany where attendees hold a session with President Volodymyr Zelensky, who is participating virtually. Later that day, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who both took part in the BRICS summit earlier this week with Russian President Vladimir Putin, will join G7 leaders in person for talks with so-called outreach partners on global food security.  

landscape in Schloss-Elmau, Germany
Schloss-Elmau

Tuesday (June 28) is the final day of the G7, and Johnson will likely hold a press conference to discuss the outcomes from the gathering. Many of those present will then be heading to Madrid for the NATO leaders’ meeting, though the main discussions are scheduled for Wednesday and Thursday (June 29-30). A one-to-one meeting between Johnson and US President Joe Biden – either in Germany or Spain – is something to keep an eye out for, though Biden’s keen interest in Ireland may force the prime minister back to domestic affairs following the publication of legislation to unilaterally scrap parts of the Northern Ireland Protocol.  

Zelensky will be addressing the NATO summit, whose attendees also include membership candidates Finland and Sweden as well as partner countries Japan, South Korea, Australia, and New Zealand. Hopes that Finland and Sweden’s bids to become full NATO members could be signed off at the summit have faded amid continued opposition from Turkey, whose objections centre around allegations that they are overly sympathetic towards Kurdish nationalists. The decision to invite Asia-Pacific leaders to the gathering, meanwhile, is viewed as an indication that NATO remains wary of China’s rising global influence. 

Jens Stoltenberg standing in front of flags
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg

On the other side of the equation, Vladimir Putin, who has not travelled abroad since the invasion began, heads to Turkmenistan on Wednesday (June 29) to attend a summit of states bordering the Caspian Sea, including Iran. He’s also due to meet this week – likely Thursday (June 30) – with Indonesian President Joko Widodo, who will chair the G20 summit later this year. Widodo is also expected in Kyiv for talks with Zelensky, though it remains unclear exactly when that trip will take place. Finally, Turkish reports suggest a four-way meeting between Turkey, the UN, Russia and Ukraine may take place as soon as next week in Istanbul to try to reach an agreement on establishing corridors allowing for Ukraine to export its grain stocks even as the conflict grinds on.


 

Also look out for...

June 27

Sir John Major gives evidence to the Infected Blood Inquiry  

Jens Stoltenberg pre-summit press conference 

Criminal barristers strike action begins 

Belly Mujinga inquest begins 

Wimbledon begins 

June 28

Ghislaine Maxwell sentencing 

Liz Truss appears before the Foreign Affairs committee 

Keir Starmer and Ben Wallace address New Statesman Politics Live event  

Michael Gove speech to LGA conference  

Sadiq Khan participates in State of London debate 

South London tram drivers strike in pay dispute 

June 29

Royal Mail strike ballot closes 

Committee on Climate Change publishes 2022 progress report  

R Kelly sentencing 

Verdict in 2015 Paris attacks trial 

Jerome Powell and Andrew Bailey at ECB Central Banking Forum 

Ed Davey addresses LGA conference 

Virgin Orbit planned rocket launch 

June 30

Anne-Marie Trevelyan addresses BCC annual conference  

John Glen and Rachel Reeves address TheCityUK annual conference 

Maroš Šefčovič at EU-UK Forum annual conference 

OPEC/non-OPEC Ministerial meeting 

Ferdinand Marcos Jr inaugurated as Filipino President 

July 1

easyJet Spanish cabin crew strike 

Ofcom Communications Market Report 

Deadline for Julian Assange extradition appeal 

Same-sex marriages legal in Switzerland 

England v India first IT20 

Tour de France begins 

July 2

Sharon Graham addresses NSSN conference 

OSCE Parliamentary Assembly meets in Birmingham 

Pride in London Parade 

July 3

RMT holds annual meeting 

British Grand Prix at Silverstone 

Statistics, reports and results

June 27

Results from: Nike 

June 28

ONS release on findings from the 2021 Census 

BP Statistical Review of World Energy 

UN FAO report on agricultural commodities markets 

ORR Rail Fares Index 

June 29

UN FAO reports on fisheries and agriculture 

Ofsted statistics on childcare providers 

BRC-Nielsen Shop Price Index 

Results from: H&M 

June 30

UK national accounts (GDP) 

BRC economic briefing 

Energy trends and prices (ONS) 

SMMT car production figures 

Nationwide House Price Index 

Results from: Walgreens Boots Alliance 

July 1

ONS statistics on deaths in England and Wales (2021) 

UK manufacturing PMI 

Euro area inflation 

Pride Power List 2021 

Anniversaries and Awareness Days

June 29

One week ago: major earthquake in Afghanistan 

June 30

Asteroid Day 

Iraq National Sovereignty Day 

Two years ago: Hong Kong National Security law took effect

July 1

25 years ago: Hong Kong SAR established (Xi Jinping visit possible)

50 years ago: UK’s first gay pride rally 

Canada Day 

Plastic Challenge begins 

July 2

World UFO Day 

International Day of Co-operatives 

July 3

Belarus Independence Day (protests possible) 


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